Locks

NBA (0.75 Unit) Milwaukee Bucks/Brooklyn Nets First Quarter Over 58.5 (-110; Odds via Fanduel): 6:30 PM CT on Bally Sports WI

Keep an eye on the status of Giannis Antetokounmpo for tonight, because with him in the game this number is a gift. He’s key to the style that would be necessary to score enough early on, as this game could feature a lot of run-outs for the Bucks. It will be raining three-point attempts for the Nets, and those will either go in or create fast break opportunities for Milwaukee. Either way that adds up to points, just as it did in the first meeting with 61 after one quarter. I’m seeing a similar result tonight if the Bucks have their superstar available.

NCAA Basketball (0.5 Unit) Virginia Team Total Over 78.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 6:00 PM CT on ACC Network

It’s Virginia, one of the lowest-scoring quality teams in the country, so this might not be easy. But on the other hand it’s Morgan State, one of the worst defensive teams in the country who plays at a breakneck pace. The Bears are a top-40 team in pace, and are ranked 348th in adjusted defensive efficiency. This Morgan defense has allowed 86.5 PPG on the season against D1 opponents, but against quality teams that rises to an astronomical 101.3 points. If Virginia wants to score at will they can, so I’ll expect another no-defense game from the Bears tonight.

Degenerates

No degenerates today.

Tiny Nick is 1869-1671 ATS (+86.7 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage. 

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.